基于船舶领域和MMG的最晚施舵点/CRI研究

提出了一种基于MMG和船舶领域的LSP计算模型,以及改进的空间碰撞危险度（space collision risk index,SCRI）/时间碰撞危险度（time collision risk index,TCRI）模型,并进行了计算机仿真.结果表明：水动力模型精度可满足研究与实践要求;基于二分法的LSP模型能快速、可靠收敛;LSP和SCRI/TCRI模型更符合海员通常做法和避碰规则的公认理解.     

互通立交匝道端部纵断面设计探讨

匝道纵断面设计是互通立交设计中的重要一环,尤其是位于匝道起终点端部处的设计高程及设计坡度的计算更是其中一大难点.笔者根据多年设计经验,结合现有规范,对这一难点进行分析,并提出一种新的设计思路以供参考.     

基于集对分析的道路交通拥堵判定

基于集对分析原理提出了道路交通拥堵判定的新方法——集对分析法,给出了集对分析法的基本思路和交通拥堵判定步骤。该方法考虑了交通状态分级标准的模糊性,同时避免了差异不确定系数的取值,应用于成都市某路段交通拥堵状态的判定,结果表明,该方法概念清晰、结构简单、计算简单、易操作、可行有效。     

出海路祖山至马蹄岭段路况调查

出海路祖山至马蹄岭段主要为水泥混凝土路面,路段经过12年的运营各种病害发展迅速.2012年4月通过咨询、调查、收集、测试等手段,对该路段气象水文、交通组成、养护维修历史、路面结构、路面检测指标、路面病害种类、桥涵情况进行了详细调查,获得了真实可靠的资料,为大修方案的确定提供了依据.     

Structural response of a flexible pipe with damaged tensile armor wires under pure tension

This article studies the structural response of a 6.0” flexible pipe under pure tension considering intact and damaged conditions. In the damaged condition, several wires of the tensile armor layers are assumed to be broken. A three-dimensional nonlinear finite element (FE) model devoted to analyze the local mechanical response of flexible pipes is employed in this study. This model is capable of representing each tensile armor wire and, therefore, localized defects, including total rupture, may be adequately represented. Results from experimental tests validate the FE predictions and indicate a reduction in the axial stiffness of the pipe, a non-uniform redistribution of forces among the remaining intact wires of the damaged tensile armor layers and high stress concentrations in the wires near the broken ones. Moreover, the FE model indicates that significant normal bending stresses may arise in the pressure armor and inner carcass due to an uneven pressure distribution on these layers. Finally, the results obtained are employed to estimate the pull out capacity of the studied flexible pipe.     

Modeling the behavioral determinants of travel behavior: An application of latent transition analysis

This paper applies the relatively new method of latent class transition analysis to explore the notion that qualitative differences in travel behavior patterns are substantively meaningful and therefore relevant from explanatory point of view. For example, because the bicycle may function as an important access and egress mode, a car user who also (occasionally) uses the bicycle may be more likely to switch to a public transit profile than someone who only uses the car. Data from the Dutch mobility panel are used to inductively reveal travel behavior patterns and model transitions in these patterns over time. Additionally, the effects of seven exogenous variables, including two important life events (i.e. moving house and changing jobs), on cluster membership and the transition probabilities are assessed. The results show that multiple-mode users compared to single-mode users are more likely to switch from one behavioral profile to another. In addition, age, the residential environment, moving house and changing jobs have strong influences on the transition probabilities between the revealed behavioral patterns over time.     

山前区云母石英片岩风化层滑坡分析与治理

结合合福铁路某滑坡,从地形、地质特征、地下水、地表降水等特点综合分析该滑坡的形成机理,确立滑坡体的合理滑面、规模,并结合滑坡体特征采用减载、支挡防护及排水治理方案进行综合整治。研究结果:通过施工完成后近1年的变形监测及雨季检验,该滑坡体整体稳定。研究结论:对于山前区云母石英片岩风化层滑坡,应该从地形、地质特征及降水等角度合理确定滑坡体的性质,并采取有针对性的加固措施。     

霍金的意义:上帝、外星人和世界的真实性

本文从新的视角考察了霍金最近发表的两条引起媒体极大兴趣的言论:关于宇宙是不是上帝创造的,关于我们要不要和外星文明交往,以及他另一个不太受关注的依赖模型的实在论观点,得出结论认为霍金在这些重要问题上其实并没有提供新的立场,只是完成了站队,但由于他的科学之神的传奇身份和影响,霍金却能通过老生常谈为人类做出新的贡献。本文还认为,霍金的新作《大设计》可能是他最后的学术遗嘱。     

外倾式非对称曲线拱桥力学特性分析

针对一座外倾式非对称钢箱拱桥,通过利用桥梁结构专业软件Midas/civil建立其空间杆系有限元模型进行整体受力性能分析,探讨主要受力结构拱肋、吊杆以及钢箱主梁的力学特点;并通过外倾角的改变研究分析了吊杆内力随拱肋外倾角改变的变化规律,对于完善该类异型拱桥的设计理论、工程施工,确保结构安全、设计合理等方面都有一定的参考价值。